Ambite: ADE SA would keep its majority
Ambite (Madrid, 648 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 98%ADE SA majority
- 425valid votes in 2023 (79% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
ADE SA+1
5
councillors (2023: 4) · 55.1% of the vote (2023: 54.6%)
Majority 98%
PP−1
2
councillors (2023: 3) · 32.4% of the vote (2023: 34.1%)
Majority 2%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- ADE SALocal lists 54.6% → 55.1% 4 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 34.1% → 32.4% 3 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 2.6% → 6.6% 0 → 0 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 7.1% → 4.3% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 425 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.