Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Portomarín: PP would keep its majority

Portomarín (Lugo, 1,352 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 60.0% of the vote (2023: 58.2%) Majority 98%
PSDEG-PSOE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 31.7% of the vote (2023: 34.1%) Majority 1%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 1% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Portomarín

Portomarín is a municipality in the province of Lugo with 1,352 inhabitants, the 51st largest of its 67 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 58.2% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PSDEG-PSOE was second with 3. 86.1% of the 1,234 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 98% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 58.2% → 60.0% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 34.1% → 31.7% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. CIFLocal lists 6.6% → 7.1% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,063 valid votes including 12 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Portomarín in size, in Lugo

Every municipality in Lugo → · All of Spain →