O Incio: PP would keep its majority
O Incio (Lugo, 1,536 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 85%PP majority
- 1,202valid votes in 2023 (86% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP−1
5
councillors (2023: 6) · 55.5% of the vote (2023: 56.0%)
Majority 85%
PSDEG-PSOE±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 32.6% of the vote (2023: 36.3%)
Majority 1%
B.N.G.+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 11.7% of the vote (2023: 7.5%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 15% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 56.0% → 55.5% 6 → 5 councillors
- PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 36.3% → 32.6% 3 → 3 councillors
- B.N.G.BNG 7.5% → 11.7% 0 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,202 valid votes including 3 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.