Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

O Valadouro: no list would have a majority, PP largest

O Valadouro (Lugo, 1,938 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 32.4% of the vote (2023: 35.6%) Majority 1%
B.N.G.+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 28.5% of the vote (2023: 19.7%) Majority 0%
PSDEG-PSOE±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 21.7% of the vote (2023: 26.6%) Majority 0%
UDIVAL±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 11.3% of the vote (2023: 11.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 99% of 300 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About O Valadouro

O Valadouro is a municipality in the province of Lugo with 1,938 inhabitants, the 39th largest of its 67 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 35.6% of the vote and 4 seats; PSDEG-PSOE was second with 2. 77.9% of the 1,628 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 3 of 9.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 35.6% → 32.4% 4 → 3 councillors
  2. B.N.G.BNG 19.7% → 28.5% 2 → 3 councillors
  3. PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 26.6% → 21.7% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. UDIVALLocal lists 11.7% → 11.3% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. GLGLocal lists 5.4% → 5.2% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,269 valid votes including 12 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near O Valadouro in size, in Lugo

Every municipality in Lugo → · All of Spain →