Carballedo: PP would keep its majority
Carballedo (Lugo, 2,065 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- over 99%PP majority
- 1,586valid votes in 2023 (82% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Carballedo
Carballedo is a municipality in the province of Lugo with 2,065 inhabitants, the 38th largest of its 67 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 78% of the vote and 9 seats, an absolute majority; B.N.G. was second with 1. 82.2% of the 1,930 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 9 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 78.0% → 75.3% 9 → 9 councillors
- B.N.G.BNG 11.0% → 16.7% 1 → 2 councillors
- PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 10.3% → 7.3% 1 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,586 valid votes including 11 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.