Torrefarrera: CM would keep its majority
Torrefarrera (Lleida, 4,730 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 67%CM majority
- 2,069valid votes in 2023 (61% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 33% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Torrefarrera
Torrefarrera is a municipality in the province of Lleida with 4,730 inhabitants, the 17th largest of its 231 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 CM came first with 49.9% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; ARA PL was second with 3. 61.2% of the 3,378 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps CM on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 67% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CMJunts 49.9% → 45.8% 6 → 6 councillors
- ARA PLLocal lists 21.8% → 22.9% 3 → 3 councillors
- ERC - AMERC 13.1% → 17.0% 1 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 2.2% → 6.4% 0 → 0 councillors
- PSC - UNITS - CPPSOE 8.4% → 5.7% 1 → 0 councillors
- PPPP 2.3% → 1.2% 0 → 0 councillors
- TEC - CONFLUÈNCIASumar, Podemos and allies 1.4% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,069 valid votes including 18 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.