Torà: CM would keep its majority
Torà (Lleida, 1,224 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 56%CM majority
- 576valid votes in 2023 (63% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 44% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Torà
Torà is a municipality in the province of Lleida with 1,224 inhabitants, the 56th largest of its 231 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 CM came first with 51.7% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; ARA PL was second with 2. 63.4% of the 908 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps CM on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 56% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CMJunts 51.7% → 46.2% 5 → 5 councillors
- ARA PLLocal lists 24.7% → 25.2% 2 → 2 councillors
- ERC - AMERC 18.8% → 23.7% 2 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 576 valid votes including 28 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Torà in size, in Lleida
- Bellcaire d'Urgell1,229 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- La Fuliola1,238 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Vilanova de Bellpuig1,179 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Bossòst1,121 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Sant Guim de Freixenet1,120 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Vilanova de la Barca1,110 inhabitants · 9 councillors