Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Odèn: no list would have a majority, AM largest

Odèn (Lleida, 252 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

AM±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 48.1% of the vote (2023: 41.2%) Majority 53%
CM±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 25.6% of the vote (2023: 31.0%) Majority 0%
ARA PL±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 25.2% of the vote (2023: 26.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 47% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Odèn

Odèn is a municipality in the province of Lleida with 252 inhabitants, the 165th largest of its 231 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 AM came first with 41.2% of the vote and 3 seats; CM was second with 2. 82.4% of the 227 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: AM would be largest on 3 of 7.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. AMERC 41.2% → 48.1% 3 → 3 councillors
  2. CMJunts 31.0% → 25.6% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. ARA PLLocal lists 26.7% → 25.2% 2 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 187 valid votes including 2 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Odèn in size, in Lleida

Every municipality in Lleida → · All of Spain →