Odèn: no list would have a majority, AM largest
Odèn (Lleida, 252 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 53%AM majority
- 187valid votes in 2023 (82% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
AM±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 48.1% of the vote (2023: 41.2%)
Majority 53%
CM±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 25.6% of the vote (2023: 31.0%)
Majority 0%
ARA PL±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 25.2% of the vote (2023: 26.7%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 47% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- AMERC 41.2% → 48.1% 3 → 3 councillors
- CMJunts 31.0% → 25.6% 2 → 2 councillors
- ARA PLLocal lists 26.7% → 25.2% 2 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 187 valid votes including 2 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.