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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Lleida

Lleida: no list would have a majority, PSC-UNITS-CP largest

Lleida (Lleida, 140,797 inhabitants) elects 27 councillors on 23 May 2027; 14 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSC-UNITS-CP−1
8 councillors (2023: 9) · 23.4% of the vote (2023: 27.4%) Majority 0%
ERC - AM+1
6 councillors (2023: 5) · 19.0% of the vote (2023: 15.2%) Majority 0%
PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 14.2% of the vote (2023: 15.5%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
4 councillors (2023: 2) · 13.0% of the vote (2023: 7.6%) Majority 0%
CM−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 12.8% of the vote (2023: 14.5%) Majority 0%
COMÚDELLEIDA-C−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 2.7% of the vote (2023: 5.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (14 of 27). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Lleida

Lleida is a municipality in the province of Lleida with 140,797 inhabitants, the largest of its 231 municipalities. Its council has 27 seats, and 14 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSC-UNITS-CP came first with 27.4% of the vote and 9 seats; PP was second with 5. 50.6% of the 93,444 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSC-UNITS-CP would be largest on 8 of 27.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSC-UNITS-CPPSOE 27.4% → 23.4% 9 → 8 councillors
  2. ERC - AMERC 15.2% → 19.0% 5 → 6 councillors
  3. PPPP 15.5% → 14.2% 5 → 5 councillors
  4. VOXVox 7.6% → 13.0% 2 → 4 councillors
  5. CMJunts 14.5% → 12.8% 5 → 4 councillors
  6. ARA PLLocal lists 4.8% → 4.8% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. CUP - AMUNTCUP 4.6% → 4.6% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. COMÚDELLEIDA-CSumar, Podemos and allies 5.0% → 2.7% 1 → 0 councillors
  9. CSCiudadanos 1.3% → 1.4% 0 → 0 councillors
  10. VALENTSLocal lists 1.1% → 1.1% 0 → 0 councillors
  11. ESCONS EN BLANCLocal lists 0.7% → 0.7% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 47,291 valid votes including 1,040 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Lleida in size, in Lleida

Every municipality in Lleida → · All of Spain →