Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Tàrrega: no list would have a majority, ERC - AM largest

Tàrrega (Lleida, 17,810 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

ERC - AM+2
7 councillors (2023: 5) · 33.1% of the vote (2023: 27.4%) Majority 2%
CM−2
6 councillors (2023: 8) · 31.5% of the vote (2023: 36.9%) Majority 1%
CUP-AMUNT−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 13.5% of the vote (2023: 13.8%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 8.8% of the vote (2023: 4.5%) Majority 0%
PSC-CP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.1% of the vote (2023: 9.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 96% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. ERC - AMERC 27.4% → 33.1% 5 → 7 councillors
  2. CMJunts 36.9% → 31.5% 8 → 6 councillors
  3. CUP-AMUNTCUP 13.8% → 13.5% 3 → 2 councillors
  4. VOXVox 4.5% → 8.8% 0 → 1 councillors
  5. PSC-CPPSOE 9.2% → 6.1% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. PPPP 3.5% → 2.4% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. ARA PLLocal lists 1.0% → 1.0% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. VALENTSLocal lists 0.4% → 0.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,807 valid votes including 189 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Tàrrega in size, in Lleida

Every municipality in Lleida → · All of Spain →