Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research
PollingForecast.com Spain
EN ES
Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Lleida

Tàrrega: no list would have a majority, ERC - AM largest

Tàrrega (Lleida, 17,810 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

ERC - AM+2
7 councillors (2023: 5) · 33.1% of the vote (2023: 27.4%) Majority 2%
CM−2
6 councillors (2023: 8) · 31.5% of the vote (2023: 36.9%) Majority 1%
CUP-AMUNT−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 13.5% of the vote (2023: 13.8%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 8.8% of the vote (2023: 4.5%) Majority 0%
PSC-CP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.1% of the vote (2023: 9.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 96% of 300 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Tàrrega

Tàrrega is a municipality in the province of Lleida with 17,810 inhabitants, the 2nd largest of its 231 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 CM came first with 36.9% of the vote and 8 seats; ERC - AM was second with 5. 51.3% of the 11,316 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: ERC - AM would be largest on 7 of 17.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. ERC - AMERC 27.4% → 33.1% 5 → 7 councillors
  2. CMJunts 36.9% → 31.5% 8 → 6 councillors
  3. CUP-AMUNTCUP 13.8% → 13.5% 3 → 2 councillors
  4. VOXVox 4.5% → 8.8% 0 → 1 councillors
  5. PSC-CPPSOE 9.2% → 6.1% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. PPPP 3.5% → 2.4% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. ARA PLLocal lists 1.0% → 1.0% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. VALENTSLocal lists 0.4% → 0.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,807 valid votes including 189 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Tàrrega in size, in Lleida

Every municipality in Lleida → · All of Spain →