La Pobla de Segur: ERC / ESQUERRA would keep its majority
La Pobla de Segur (Lleida, 3,055 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- over 99%ERC / ESQUERRA majority
- 1,308valid votes in 2023 (61% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in under 1% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About La Pobla de Segur
La Pobla de Segur is a municipality in the province of Lleida with 3,055 inhabitants, the 23rd largest of its 231 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 ERC / ESQUERRA came first with 52.6% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PARTIT DELS SOCIALISTES DE CATALUNYA -CANDIDATURA was second with 3. 60.7% of the 2,154 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps ERC / ESQUERRA on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- ERC / ESQUERRAERC 52.6% → 61.6% 6 → 7 councillors
- PARTIT DELS SOCIALISTES DE CATALUNYA -CANDIDATURAPSOE 24.5% → 19.4% 3 → 2 councillors
- JUNTS PER LA POBLA DE SEGUR CMJunts 21.7% → 17.9% 2 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,308 valid votes including 15 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.