Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

La Pobla de Segur: ERC / ESQUERRA would keep its majority

La Pobla de Segur (Lleida, 3,055 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

ERC / ESQUERRA+1
7 councillors (2023: 6) · 61.6% of the vote (2023: 52.6%) Majority over 99%
PARTIT DELS SOCIALISTES DE CATALUNYA -CANDIDATURA−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 19.4% of the vote (2023: 24.5%) Majority 0%
JUNTS PER LA POBLA DE SEGUR CM±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 17.9% of the vote (2023: 21.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in under 1% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. ERC / ESQUERRAERC 52.6% → 61.6% 6 → 7 councillors
  2. PARTIT DELS SOCIALISTES DE CATALUNYA -CANDIDATURAPSOE 24.5% → 19.4% 3 → 2 councillors
  3. JUNTS PER LA POBLA DE SEGUR CMJunts 21.7% → 17.9% 2 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,308 valid votes including 15 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near La Pobla de Segur in size, in Lleida

Every municipality in Lleida → · All of Spain →