Almenar: ERC - AM would win a majority
Almenar (Lleida, 3,401 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 85%ERC - AM majority
- 1,473valid votes in 2023 (59% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
ERC - AM+1
6
councillors (2023: 5) · 52.2% of the vote (2023: 42.6%)
Majority 85%
CM±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 31.9% of the vote (2023: 36.9%)
Majority under 1%
PSC-CP−1
1
councillors (2023: 2) · 12.3% of the vote (2023: 15.8%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 14% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- ERC - AMERC 42.6% → 52.2% 5 → 6 councillors
- CMJunts 36.9% → 31.9% 4 → 4 councillors
- PSC-CPPSOE 15.8% → 12.3% 2 → 1 councillors
- PPPP 1.3% → 0.2% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,473 valid votes including 51 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.