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Guissona: CM would keep its majority

Guissona (Lleida, 7,390 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CM−1
8 councillors (2023: 9) · 53.5% of the vote (2023: 58.0%) Majority 89%
ERC - AM+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 29.1% of the vote (2023: 22.3%) Majority 0%
PSC-CP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.0% of the vote (2023: 11.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 11% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Guissona

Guissona is a municipality in the province of Lleida with 7,390 inhabitants, the 9th largest of its 231 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 CM came first with 58% of the vote and 9 seats, an absolute majority; ERC - AM was second with 3. 54.7% of the 2,919 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps CM on 8 seats, a majority, which it holds in 89% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CMJunts 58.0% → 53.5% 9 → 8 councillors
  2. ERC - AMERC 22.3% → 29.1% 3 → 4 councillors
  3. PSC-CPPSOE 11.7% → 9.0% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. CUP-AMUNTCUP 6.3% → 6.7% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,596 valid votes including 27 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Guissona in size, in Lleida

Every municipality in Lleida → · All of Spain →