Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Vega de Valcarce: PSOE would keep its majority

Vega de Valcarce (León, 579 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 54.1% of the vote (2023: 55.8%) Majority 78%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 44.8% of the vote (2023: 43.3%) Majority 22%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 55.8% → 54.1% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. PPPP 43.3% → 44.8% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. C. BIERZOLocal lists 1.0% → 1.1% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 400 valid votes including 0 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Vega de Valcarce in size, in León

Every municipality in León → · All of Spain →