Encinedo: PP would win a majority
Encinedo (León, 603 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 66%PP majority
- 450valid votes in 2023 (79% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP+1
4
councillors (2023: 3) · 48.8% of the vote (2023: 48.4%)
Majority 66%
U.P.L.±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 40.1% of the vote (2023: 37.8%)
Majority 11%
PSOE−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 11.1% of the vote (2023: 13.8%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 23% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 48.4% → 48.8% 3 → 4 councillors
- U.P.L.Local lists 37.8% → 40.1% 3 → 3 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 13.8% → 11.1% 1 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 450 valid votes including 0 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.