Ardón: UPL would keep its majority
Ardón (León, 569 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 62%UPL majority
- 402valid votes in 2023 (82% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
UPL±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 48.1% of the vote (2023: 43.8%)
Majority 62%
PP±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 33.3% of the vote (2023: 32.3%)
Majority 0%
ALANTRE VERDES EQUO±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 15.9% of the vote (2023: 18.7%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 38% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- UPLLocal lists 43.8% → 48.1% 4 → 4 councillors
- PPPP 32.3% → 33.3% 2 → 2 councillors
- ALANTRE VERDES EQUOSumar, Podemos and allies 18.7% → 15.9% 1 → 1 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 3.2% → 0.8% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 402 valid votes including 8 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.