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Valderas: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Valderas (León, 1,566 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 39.6% of the vote (2023: 45.1%) Majority 15%
PP−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 34.4% of the vote (2023: 36.5%) Majority 1%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 22.9% of the vote (2023: 15.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 84% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Valderas

Valderas is a municipality in the province of León with 1,566 inhabitants, the 42nd largest of its 211 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 45.1% of the vote and 4 seats; PP was second with 4. 76.4% of the 1,325 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 4 of 9.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 45.1% → 39.6% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. PPPP 36.5% → 34.4% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 15.4% → 22.9% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. U.P.L.Local lists 2.5% → 2.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,012 valid votes including 6 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Valderas in size, in León

Every municipality in León → · All of Spain →