Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Mansilla de las Mulas: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Mansilla de las Mulas (León, 1,679 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 40.6% of the vote (2023: 42.3%) Majority 22%
PSOE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 27.5% of the vote (2023: 31.7%) Majority 0%
UPL±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 17.2% of the vote (2023: 16.9%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 13.8% of the vote (2023: 8.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 78% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 42.3% → 40.6% 5 → 4 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 31.7% → 27.5% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. UPLLocal lists 16.9% → 17.2% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. VOXVox 8.1% → 13.8% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 875 valid votes including 9 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Mansilla de las Mulas in size, in León

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