Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Garrafe de Torío: no list would have a majority, UPL largest

Garrafe de Torío (León, 1,580 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

UPL±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 30.7% of the vote (2023: 28.5%) Majority 0%
IU-PODEMOS±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 26.9% of the vote (2023: 30.8%) Majority 0%
PSOE±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 23.2% of the vote (2023: 25.7%) Majority 0%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.9% of the vote (2023: 10.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. UPLLocal lists 28.5% → 30.7% 3 → 3 councillors
  2. IU-PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 30.8% → 26.9% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 25.7% → 23.2% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. PPPP 10.6% → 9.9% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. VOXVox 3.9% → 8.8% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,136 valid votes including 6 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Garrafe de Torío in size, in León

Every municipality in León → · All of Spain →