España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Toreno: PSOE would keep its majority

Toreno (León, 2,980 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
7 councillors (2023: 8) · 51.9% of the vote (2023: 56.0%) Majority 95%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 23.0% of the vote (2023: 23.7%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 6.8% of the vote (2023: 2.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 5% of 300 simulated elections.

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About Toreno

Toreno is a municipality in the province of León with 2,980 inhabitants, the 19th largest of its 211 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 56% of the vote and 8 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 3. 73.7% of the 2,625 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 95% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 56.0% → 51.9% 8 → 7 councillors
  2. PPPP 23.7% → 23.0% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 2.5% → 6.8% 0 → 1 councillors
  4. C. BIERZOLocal lists 6.0% → 6.3% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. TORENO ACTIVO AGRUPACION PLURAL INDEPENDIENTELocal lists 5.7% → 6.0% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. TCLocal lists 5.1% → 5.3% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,934 valid votes including 16 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Toreno in size, in León

Every municipality in León → · All of Spain →