Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Santa María del Páramo: U.P.L. would keep its majority

Santa María del Páramo (León, 3,065 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

U.P.L.±0
8 councillors (2023: 8) · 69.5% of the vote (2023: 66.2%) Majority over 99%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 19.7% of the vote (2023: 20.3%) Majority 0%
PSOE±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.0% of the vote (2023: 11.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. U.P.L.Local lists 66.2% → 69.5% 8 → 8 councillors
  2. PPPP 20.3% → 19.7% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 11.7% → 9.0% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,873 valid votes including 33 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Santa María del Páramo in size, in León

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