Santa María del Páramo: U.P.L. would keep its majority
Santa María del Páramo (León, 3,065 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- over 99%U.P.L. majority
- 1,873valid votes in 2023 (74% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Santa María del Páramo
Santa María del Páramo is a municipality in the province of León with 3,065 inhabitants, the 17th largest of its 211 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 U.P.L. came first with 66.2% of the vote and 8 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 2. 74.3% of the 2,520 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps U.P.L. on 8 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- U.P.L.Local lists 66.2% → 69.5% 8 → 8 councillors
- PPPP 20.3% → 19.7% 2 → 2 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 11.7% → 9.0% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,873 valid votes including 33 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.