Toreno: PSOE would keep its majority
Toreno (León, 2,980 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 95%PSOE majority
- 1,934valid votes in 2023 (74% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE−1
7
councillors (2023: 8) · 51.9% of the vote (2023: 56.0%)
Majority 95%
PP±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 23.0% of the vote (2023: 23.7%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 6.8% of the vote (2023: 2.5%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 5% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 56.0% → 51.9% 8 → 7 councillors
- PPPP 23.7% → 23.0% 3 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 2.5% → 6.8% 0 → 1 councillors
- C. BIERZOLocal lists 6.0% → 6.3% 0 → 0 councillors
- TORENO ACTIVO AGRUPACION PLURAL INDEPENDIENTELocal lists 5.7% → 6.0% 0 → 0 councillors
- TCLocal lists 5.1% → 5.3% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,934 valid votes including 16 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Toreno in size, in León
- Cistierna2,986 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Villarejo de Órbigo2,930 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- La Pola de Gordón2,929 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Santa María del Páramo3,065 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Villafranca del Bierzo2,756 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Chozas de Abajo2,625 inhabitants · 11 councillors