Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Soto de la Vega: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Soto de la Vega (León, 1,490 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 36.9% of the vote (2023: 39.6%) Majority 6%
U.P.L.+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 29.1% of the vote (2023: 27.1%) Majority 0%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 20.5% of the vote (2023: 20.7%) Majority 0%
CS±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 12.7% of the vote (2023: 11.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 94% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Soto de la Vega

Soto de la Vega is a municipality in the province of León with 1,490 inhabitants, the 43rd largest of its 211 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 39.6% of the vote and 4 seats; U.P.L. was second with 2. 71.3% of the 1,312 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 3 of 9.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 39.6% → 36.9% 4 → 3 councillors
  2. U.P.L.Local lists 27.1% → 29.1% 2 → 3 councillors
  3. PPPP 20.7% → 20.5% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. CSCiudadanos 11.9% → 12.7% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 935 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Soto de la Vega in size, in León

Every municipality in León → · All of Spain →