Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Sariegos: U.P.L. would keep its majority

Sariegos (León, 5,306 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

U.P.L.±0
8 councillors (2023: 8) · 55.4% of the vote (2023: 55.8%) Majority 97%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 16.9% of the vote (2023: 18.6%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 14.9% of the vote (2023: 9.3%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 12.0% of the vote (2023: 15.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 3% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Sariegos

Sariegos is a municipality in the province of León with 5,306 inhabitants, the 10th largest of its 211 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 U.P.L. came first with 55.8% of the vote and 8 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 2. 66% of the 4,318 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps U.P.L. on 8 seats, a majority, which it holds in 97% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. U.P.L.Local lists 55.8% → 55.4% 8 → 8 councillors
  2. PPPP 18.6% → 16.9% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. VOXVox 9.3% → 14.9% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. PSOEPSOE 15.5% → 12.0% 2 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,848 valid votes including 21 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Sariegos in size, in León

Every municipality in León → · All of Spain →