Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Cacabelos: PSOE would keep its majority

Cacabelos (León, 4,874 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 45.8% of the vote (2023: 46.5%) Majority 61%
PP+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 38.6% of the vote (2023: 36.6%) Majority 22%
IU CONTIGO−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.7% of the vote (2023: 8.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 17% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 46.5% → 45.8% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. PPPP 36.6% → 38.6% 4 → 5 councillors
  3. IU CONTIGOSumar, Podemos and allies 8.8% → 6.7% 1 → 0 councillors
  4. U.P.L.Local lists 4.8% → 5.4% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. C. BIERZOLocal lists 2.0% → 2.2% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,624 valid votes including 33 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cacabelos in size, in León

Every municipality in León → · All of Spain →