Cacabelos: PSOE would keep its majority
Cacabelos (León, 4,874 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 61%PSOE majority
- 2,624valid votes in 2023 (65% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 17% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Cacabelos
Cacabelos is a municipality in the province of León with 4,874 inhabitants, the 12th largest of its 211 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE came first with 46.5% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 4. 65.4% of the 4,011 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 61% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 46.5% → 45.8% 6 → 6 councillors
- PPPP 36.6% → 38.6% 4 → 5 councillors
- IU CONTIGOSumar, Podemos and allies 8.8% → 6.7% 1 → 0 councillors
- U.P.L.Local lists 4.8% → 5.4% 0 → 0 councillors
- C. BIERZOLocal lists 2.0% → 2.2% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,624 valid votes including 33 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.