Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Riello: PP would keep its majority

Riello (León, 614 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 60.1% of the vote (2023: 61.5%) Majority 99%
PSOE±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 26.7% of the vote (2023: 30.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 1% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Riello

Riello is a municipality in the province of León with 614 inhabitants, the 91st largest of its 211 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 61.5% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 2. 74.2% of the 574 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 99% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 61.5% → 60.1% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 30.5% → 26.7% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. VOXVox 6.3% → 11.6% 0 → 0 councillors
  4. UPLLocal lists 0.2% → 0.2% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 426 valid votes including 6 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Riello in size, in León

Every municipality in León → · All of Spain →