Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Páramo del Sil: PSOE would keep its majority

Páramo del Sil (León, 1,217 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 45.6% of the vote (2023: 47.6%) Majority 57%
PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 43.7% of the vote (2023: 42.4%) Majority 43%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Páramo del Sil

Páramo del Sil is a municipality in the province of León with 1,217 inhabitants, the 49th largest of its 211 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 47.6% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 4. 77.4% of the 1,099 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 57% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 47.6% → 45.6% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 42.4% → 43.7% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. P.S.L.F.Local lists 4.1% → 4.5% 0 → 0 councillors
  4. C. BIERZOLocal lists 3.9% → 4.2% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 851 valid votes including 17 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Páramo del Sil in size, in León

Every municipality in León → · All of Spain →