Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Matallana de Torío: PSOE would keep its majority

Matallana de Torío (León, 1,269 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 54.4% of the vote (2023: 55.0%) Majority 98%
UPL+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 18.8% of the vote (2023: 16.8%) Majority 0%
ESPAÑA VACIADA±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 15.5% of the vote (2023: 13.9%) Majority 0%
IU-PODEMOS−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.4% of the vote (2023: 8.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 2% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 55.0% → 54.4% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. UPLLocal lists 16.8% → 18.8% 1 → 2 councillors
  3. ESPAÑA VACIADALocal lists 13.9% → 15.5% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. IU-PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 8.6% → 6.4% 1 → 0 councillors
  5. PPPP 4.8% → 4.1% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 827 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Matallana de Torío in size, in León

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