Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

El Burgo Ranero: PSOE would keep its majority

El Burgo Ranero (León, 697 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 47.7% of the vote (2023: 52.7%) Majority 75%
PP−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 31.1% of the vote (2023: 32.4%) Majority 1%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 16.4% of the vote (2023: 10.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 24% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About El Burgo Ranero

El Burgo Ranero is a municipality in the province of León with 697 inhabitants, the 83rd largest of its 211 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 52.7% of the vote and 4 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 3. 74.4% of the 602 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 4 seats, a majority, which it holds in 75% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 52.7% → 47.7% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. PPPP 32.4% → 31.1% 3 → 2 councillors
  3. VOXVox 10.0% → 16.4% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 448 valid votes including 22 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near El Burgo Ranero in size, in León

Every municipality in León → · All of Spain →