Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Castrocontrigo: U.P.L. would keep its majority

Castrocontrigo (León, 701 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

U.P.L.+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 57.2% of the vote (2023: 54.2%) Majority 99%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 32.7% of the vote (2023: 33.0%) Majority under 1%
PSOE−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.7% of the vote (2023: 12.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 1% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. U.P.L.Local lists 54.2% → 57.2% 4 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 33.0% → 32.7% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 12.4% → 9.7% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 509 valid votes including 2 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Castrocontrigo in size, in León

Every municipality in León → · All of Spain →