Castrocontrigo: U.P.L. would keep its majority
Castrocontrigo (León, 701 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 99%U.P.L. majority
- 509valid votes in 2023 (79% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
U.P.L.+1
5
councillors (2023: 4) · 57.2% of the vote (2023: 54.2%)
Majority 99%
PP±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 32.7% of the vote (2023: 33.0%)
Majority under 1%
PSOE−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 9.7% of the vote (2023: 12.4%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 1% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- U.P.L.Local lists 54.2% → 57.2% 4 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 33.0% → 32.7% 2 → 2 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 12.4% → 9.7% 1 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 509 valid votes including 2 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.