Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Congosto: PP would keep its majority

Congosto (León, 1,447 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 56.1% of the vote (2023: 55.4%) Majority 99%
C.P.U.±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 21.4% of the vote (2023: 20.0%) Majority 0%
PSOE±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 12.1% of the vote (2023: 14.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 1% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Congosto

Congosto is a municipality in the province of León with 1,447 inhabitants, the 44th largest of its 211 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 55.4% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; C.P.U. was second with 2. 73.9% of the 1,276 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 99% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 55.4% → 56.1% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. C.P.U.Local lists 20.0% → 21.4% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 14.7% → 12.1% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. C. BIERZOLocal lists 6.6% → 7.0% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. U.P.L.Local lists 2.3% → 2.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 943 valid votes including 9 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Congosto in size, in León

Every municipality in León → · All of Spain →