Bustillo del Páramo: PP would keep its majority
Bustillo del Páramo (León, 1,094 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- over 99%PP majority
- 698valid votes in 2023 (70% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in under 1% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Bustillo del Páramo
Bustillo del Páramo is a municipality in the province of León with 1,094 inhabitants, the 54th largest of its 211 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 59.7% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; U.P.L. was second with 2. 69.6% of the 1,003 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 59.7% → 60.5% 6 → 7 councillors
- U.P.L.Local lists 23.5% → 25.0% 2 → 2 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 9.6% → 7.0% 1 → 0 councillors
- PREPALLocal lists 5.0% → 5.3% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 698 valid votes including 15 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.