Sabero: U.P.L. would win a majority
Sabero (León, 1,088 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 49%U.P.L. majority
- 780valid votes in 2023 (80% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 25% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Sabero
Sabero is a municipality in the province of León with 1,088 inhabitants, the 55th largest of its 211 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 U.P.L. came first with 44.9% of the vote and 4 seats; PP was second with 4. 79.5% of the 981 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps U.P.L. on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 49% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- U.P.L.Local lists 44.9% → 47.5% 4 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 43.2% → 43.2% 4 → 4 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 11.7% → 9.0% 1 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 780 valid votes including 2 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.