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Benavides: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Benavides (León, 2,390 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 47.6% of the vote (2023: 49.6%) Majority 41%
PP+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 40.3% of the vote (2023: 39.2%) Majority 8%
U.P.L.±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 11.0% of the vote (2023: 10.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 51% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Benavides

Benavides is a municipality in the province of León with 2,390 inhabitants, the 25th largest of its 211 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 49.6% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 4. 73.7% of the 2,130 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 5 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 49.6% → 47.6% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 39.2% → 40.3% 4 → 5 councillors
  3. U.P.L.Local lists 10.1% → 11.0% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,570 valid votes including 18 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Benavides in size, in León

Every municipality in León → · All of Spain →