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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Las Palmas

Yaiza: UPY would keep its majority

Yaiza (Las Palmas, 16,924 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

UPY+1
10 councillors (2023: 9) · 47.8% of the vote (2023: 45.2%) Majority 90%
CCA−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 13.6% of the vote (2023: 16.3%) Majority 0%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 11.7% of the vote (2023: 12.5%) Majority 0%
YAS±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 10.4% of the vote (2023: 9.8%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 7.9% of the vote (2023: 3.3%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 3.7% of the vote (2023: 6.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 10% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Yaiza

Yaiza is a municipality in the province of Las Palmas with 16,924 inhabitants, the 18th largest of its 34 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 UPY came first with 45.2% of the vote and 9 seats, an absolute majority; CCA was second with 3. 50.7% of the 9,176 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps UPY on 10 seats, a majority, which it holds in 90% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. UPYLocal lists 45.2% → 47.8% 9 → 10 councillors
  2. CCACoalición Canaria 16.3% → 13.6% 3 → 2 councillors
  3. PPPP 12.5% → 11.7% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. YASLocal lists 9.8% → 10.4% 2 → 2 councillors
  5. VOXVox 3.3% → 7.9% 0 → 1 councillors
  6. PSOEPSOE 6.2% → 3.7% 1 → 0 councillors
  7. LEPLocal lists 3.4% → 3.6% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. USPSumar, Podemos and allies 2.5% → 0.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,654 valid votes including 38 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Yaiza in size, in Las Palmas

Every municipality in Las Palmas → · All of Spain →