Santa María de Guía de Gran Canaria: no list would have a majority, JP-GUIA-NC largest
Santa María de Guía de Gran Canaria (Las Palmas, 13,838 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 94%no list with a majority
- 8,323valid votes in 2023 (70% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
JP-GUIA-NC±0
7
councillors (2023: 7) · 38.2% of the vote (2023: 37.3%)
Majority 6%
UXGC+1
4
councillors (2023: 3) · 19.4% of the vote (2023: 18.9%)
Majority 0%
AG±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 12.1% of the vote (2023: 11.8%)
Majority 0%
PP−1
1
councillors (2023: 2) · 8.5% of the vote (2023: 9.6%)
Majority 0%
CCA±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 7.6% of the vote (2023: 9.4%)
Majority 0%
PSOE−1
1
councillors (2023: 2) · 6.7% of the vote (2023: 9.5%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 6.5% of the vote (2023: 2.4%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 94% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- JP-GUIA-NCLocal lists 37.3% → 38.2% 7 → 7 councillors
- UXGCLocal lists 18.9% → 19.4% 3 → 4 councillors
- AGLocal lists 11.8% → 12.1% 2 → 2 councillors
- PPPP 9.6% → 8.5% 2 → 1 councillors
- CCACoalición Canaria 9.4% → 7.6% 1 → 1 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 9.5% → 6.7% 2 → 1 councillors
- VOXVox 2.4% → 6.5% 0 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 8,323 valid votes including 86 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.