Vega de San Mateo: AVESAN would win a majority
Vega de San Mateo (Las Palmas, 7,682 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 76%AVESAN majority
- 4,590valid votes in 2023 (69% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
AVESAN+1
7
councillors (2023: 6) · 45.6% of the vote (2023: 45.3%)
Majority 76%
UVE±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 19.7% of the vote (2023: 19.5%)
Majority 0%
A.X.S.M.±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 14.5% of the vote (2023: 14.4%)
Majority 0%
PSOE−1
1
councillors (2023: 2) · 10.4% of the vote (2023: 13.7%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 24% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- AVESANLocal lists 45.3% → 45.6% 6 → 7 councillors
- UVELocal lists 19.5% → 19.7% 3 → 3 councillors
- A.X.S.M.Local lists 14.4% → 14.5% 2 → 2 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 13.7% → 10.4% 2 → 1 councillors
- VOXVox 1.8% → 5.6% 0 → 0 councillors
- PPPP 4.1% → 3.0% 0 → 0 councillors
- UXGCLocal lists 0.5% → 0.5% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,590 valid votes including 26 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.