Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Valsequillo de Gran Canaria: no list would have a majority, ASBA largest

Valsequillo de Gran Canaria (Las Palmas, 9,490 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

ASBA−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 35.1% of the vote (2023: 35.4%) Majority 8%
ASAVA±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 24.2% of the vote (2023: 24.4%) Majority 0%
PSOE - VPL±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.8% of the vote (2023: 9.9%) Majority 0%
PORV±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 8.6% of the vote (2023: 8.6%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 6.7% of the vote (2023: 2.8%) Majority 0%
CCA±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.6% of the vote (2023: 8.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 92% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Valsequillo de Gran Canaria

Valsequillo de Gran Canaria is a municipality in the province of Las Palmas with 9,490 inhabitants, the 23rd largest of its 34 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 ASBA came first with 35.4% of the vote and 6 seats; ASAVA was second with 4. 71.9% of the 7,869 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: ASBA would be largest on 5 of 13.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. ASBALocal lists 35.4% → 35.1% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. ASAVALocal lists 24.4% → 24.2% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. PSOE - VPLLocal lists 9.9% → 9.8% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. PORVLocal lists 8.6% → 8.6% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. VOXVox 2.8% → 6.7% 0 → 1 councillors
  6. CCACoalición Canaria 8.5% → 6.6% 1 → 1 councillors
  7. UXGCLocal lists 4.7% → 4.6% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. PPPP 4.6% → 3.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,659 valid votes including 61 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Valsequillo de Gran Canaria in size, in Las Palmas

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