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Haría: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Haría (Las Palmas, 5,382 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 23.9% of the vote (2023: 25.4%) Majority 0%
P.M.H.±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 23.2% of the vote (2023: 20.7%) Majority 0%
COMPROMISO X HARÍA−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 22.7% of the vote (2023: 25.3%) Majority 0%
CCA±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.6% of the vote (2023: 10.9%) Majority 0%
NC-FAC±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.2% of the vote (2023: 8.2%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 7.1% of the vote (2023: 2.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Haría

Haría is a municipality in the province of Las Palmas with 5,382 inhabitants, the 30th largest of its 34 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 25.4% of the vote and 4 seats; COMPROMISO X HARÍA was second with 4. 65.2% of the 4,284 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 4 of 13.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 25.4% → 23.9% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. P.M.H.Local lists 20.7% → 23.2% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. COMPROMISO X HARÍASumar, Podemos and allies 25.3% → 22.7% 4 → 3 councillors
  4. CCACoalición Canaria 10.9% → 9.6% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. NC-FACLocal lists 8.2% → 9.2% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. VOXVox 2.4% → 7.1% 0 → 1 councillors
  7. USPSumar, Podemos and allies 3.9% → 1.9% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. PPPP 2.6% → 1.7% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,792 valid votes including 20 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Haría in size, in Las Palmas

Every municipality in Las Palmas → · All of Spain →