España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Arrecife: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Arrecife (Las Palmas, 63,750 inhabitants) elects 25 councillors on 23 May 2027; 13 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−2
7 councillors (2023: 9) · 25.8% of the vote (2023: 28.1%) Majority 0%
PP±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 24.4% of the vote (2023: 24.2%) Majority 0%
CCA−1
6 councillors (2023: 7) · 19.7% of the vote (2023: 23.0%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
4 councillors (2023: 2) · 14.1% of the vote (2023: 7.6%) Majority 0%
NC-FAC+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 5.2% of the vote (2023: 4.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (13 of 25). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 28.1% → 25.8% 9 → 7 councillors
  2. PPPP 24.2% → 24.4% 7 → 7 councillors
  3. CCACoalición Canaria 23.0% → 19.7% 7 → 6 councillors
  4. VOXVox 7.6% → 14.1% 2 → 4 councillors
  5. NC-FACLocal lists 4.7% → 5.2% 0 → 1 councillors
  6. LEPLocal lists 3.6% → 3.9% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. USPSumar, Podemos and allies 4.2% → 2.1% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. DVCLocal lists 1.5% → 1.6% 0 → 0 councillors
  9. P.N.C.Local lists 1.0% → 1.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 18,110 valid votes including 396 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Arrecife in size, in Las Palmas

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