Arnedo: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest
Arnedo (La Rioja, 15,017 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 69%no list with a majority
- 7,605valid votes in 2023 (74% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 69% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Arnedo
Arnedo is a municipality in the province of La Rioja with 15,017 inhabitants, the 3rd largest of its 174 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE came first with 41.5% of the vote and 8 seats; PP was second with 7. 73.6% of the 10,335 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 8 of 17.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 41.5% → 38.5% 8 → 8 councillors
- PPPP 37.7% → 37.8% 7 → 7 councillors
- VOXVox 2.8% → 7.3% 0 → 1 councillors
- PR+ELocal lists 6.6% → 7.1% 1 → 1 councillors
- I.U.-PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 6.2% → 3.9% 1 → 0 councillors
- PLRILocal lists 3.1% → 3.3% 0 → 0 councillors
- VINEALocal lists 0.8% → 0.8% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 7,605 valid votes including 97 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.