Calahorra: PP would win a majority
Calahorra (La Rioja, 24,654 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 57%PP majority
- 11,317valid votes in 2023 (66% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP+1
11
councillors (2023: 10) · 44.8% of the vote (2023: 45.4%)
Majority 57%
PSOE−1
7
councillors (2023: 8) · 30.2% of the vote (2023: 33.7%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
3
councillors (2023: 2) · 14.7% of the vote (2023: 8.5%)
Majority 0%
I.U.−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 3.0% of the vote (2023: 5.3%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 43% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 45.4% → 44.8% 10 → 11 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 33.7% → 30.2% 8 → 7 councillors
- VOXVox 8.5% → 14.7% 2 → 3 councillors
- I.U.Sumar, Podemos and allies 5.3% → 3.0% 1 → 0 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 1.8% → 1.9% 0 → 0 councillors
- VINEALocal lists 1.8% → 1.9% 0 → 0 councillors
- PR+ELocal lists 1.4% → 1.4% 0 → 0 councillors
- PLRILocal lists 0.7% → 0.7% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 11,317 valid votes including 161 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.