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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · La Rioja

Calahorra: PP would win a majority

Calahorra (La Rioja, 24,654 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP+1
11 councillors (2023: 10) · 44.8% of the vote (2023: 45.4%) Majority 57%
PSOE−1
7 councillors (2023: 8) · 30.2% of the vote (2023: 33.7%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 14.7% of the vote (2023: 8.5%) Majority 0%
I.U.−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 3.0% of the vote (2023: 5.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 43% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Calahorra

Calahorra is a municipality in the province of La Rioja with 24,654 inhabitants, the 2nd largest of its 174 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 45.4% of the vote and 10 seats; PSOE was second with 8. 65.9% of the 17,184 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 11 seats, a majority, which it holds in 57% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 45.4% → 44.8% 10 → 11 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 33.7% → 30.2% 8 → 7 councillors
  3. VOXVox 8.5% → 14.7% 2 → 3 councillors
  4. I.U.Sumar, Podemos and allies 5.3% → 3.0% 1 → 0 councillors
  5. CSCiudadanos 1.8% → 1.9% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. VINEALocal lists 1.8% → 1.9% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. PR+ELocal lists 1.4% → 1.4% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. PLRILocal lists 0.7% → 0.7% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 11,317 valid votes including 161 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Calahorra in size, in La Rioja

Every municipality in La Rioja → · All of Spain →