Villacarrillo: PP would keep its majority
Villacarrillo (Jaén, 10,484 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 95%PP majority
- 6,016valid votes in 2023 (72% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 5% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Villacarrillo
Villacarrillo is a municipality in the province of Jaén with 10,484 inhabitants, the 14th largest of its 97 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 59.8% of the vote and 11 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 5. 72.4% of the 8,306 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 11 seats, a majority, which it holds in 95% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 59.8% → 57.9% 11 → 11 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 30.4% → 26.3% 5 → 4 councillors
- VOXVox 8.8% → 14.7% 1 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 6,016 valid votes including 62 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.