Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Torreperogil: PSOE would keep its majority

Torreperogil (Jaén, 7,130 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 46.0% of the vote (2023: 48.1%) Majority 61%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 24.3% of the vote (2023: 24.1%) Majority 0%
CON ANDALUCÍA−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 16.3% of the vote (2023: 19.3%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 7.6% of the vote (2023: 3.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 39% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 48.1% → 46.0% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. PPPP 24.1% → 24.3% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 19.3% → 16.3% 3 → 2 councillors
  4. VOXVox 3.0% → 7.6% 0 → 1 councillors
  5. AETLocal lists 2.4% → 2.7% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. JM+Local lists 1.9% → 2.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,093 valid votes including 48 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Torreperogil in size, in Jaén

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